Brexit, for once some facts.

Woosh

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You don't go from being pro-EU to anti it just because some one else is anti it, unless you are a total idiot, just like you don't go from being Anti-EU to pro-EU just because the EU is popular.
I suspect that many MPs know that there is a cost to brexit which may be higher if we end up with no deal but on the other hand, there are also opportunities, not so much in more trade in the immediate future but the chance to fix the long term decline of our industries and excessive reliance on the casinos/ stock market. That is why 80% would be happy with the second softest option (out of the SM but in the CU) and stay close to membership.
 

oldgroaner

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I suspect that many MPs know that there is a cost to brexit which may be higher if we end up with no deal but on the other hand, there are also opportunities, not so much in more trade in the immediate future but the chance to fix the long term decline of our industries and excessive reliance on the casinos/ stock market. That is why 80% would be happy with the second softest option (out of the SM but in the CU) and stay close to membership.
The problem with this pie on the sky is that we are not going to revitalise our industries with no customers, no products and no investments for both those reasons. We had the chance inside the EU, but let foreign companies fill what gaps existed, and that is exactly what will continue to happen.
In the end we will own nothing.

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Zlatan

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The constant comparisons to sport are interesting...

If it was discovered after the match in 1966 that both sides cheated / lied, do you think the result would stand?

No I suspect like the Tour de France where most of the top 10 in the Lance years were all cheating... it was wiped from the record.
First of all decision as to wether they cheated is subjective. Anybody with any sense ignores what is written on the sides of buses and we know fir a fact all MP's lie. Its their job.
Secondly , there are loads of instances where refs have been conned, penalties awarded which changes outcome of game, with retrospective action now taken against individuals...but the result stands.( there is exactly this being investigated now but result will not change)

Besides, remain side lied most, or perhaps you missed Osborn's comments in what would happen immediately???
With all respect K.. T..M... suspect you might just be a tad bias..
Got a mate who sells Porsche in Sheffield...he sounds just like you..

And you never know , Boris might find £350kk/ week for NHS..we dont know yet. We haven't left.

Our country has seen every major industry disappear, from cars to Steel to Coal.We are no longer a manufacturing base now I,m not blaming EU for that but its all gone whilst in EU. These are the things we should be challenging.
Not continually harping on about Brexit. Stand with Shan, he,s looking for a deputy PM and funding. The English Macron could arise from pedelec forum ???
 
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Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
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Southend on Sea
wooshbikes.co.uk
The problem with this pie on the sky is that we are not going to revitalise our industries with no customers, no products and no investments for both those reasons. We had the chance inside the EU, but let foreign companies fill what gaps existed, and that is exactly what will continue to happen.
In the end we will own nothing.

Sent from my XT1032 using Tapatalk
that's an exaggeration and you know it. Of course we have the same customers, same products. Brexit will hit direct inward investment in the short term when businesses have to work out positives and negatives and that is reflected in the exchange rate, currently at 1GBP = 1.39 USD, to me, that's more or less the right place (and pricing of brexit) until the deal on transition is worked out. I expect the Pound will appreciate further, may be 1.45 USD, when the fog of 2019-2021 will be lifted. Then the issue of economic shock due to brexit is properly understood, ie, about 2%-3%.
 
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Zlatan

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The problem with this pie on the sky is that we are not going to revitalise our industries with no customers, no products and no investments for both those reasons. We had the chance inside the EU, but let foreign companies fill what gaps existed, and that is exactly what will continue to happen.
In the end we will own nothing.

Sent from my XT1032 using Tapatalk
What chance was that OG in EU. ??? We have no Uk industry...cars or otherwise.( apart from a few minor / specialist concerns)
How on earth can you argue EU has helped UK industry. Its done nothing of kind.
If / when we leave I suspect we will have to see the rebirth of industries. Why cant UK be competitive in all areas ?? Fact is the cars built in 10 years will all be on equipment not yet in use..Everybody will have to invest to compete. There can be advantages coming into game late.
 
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Danidl

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we have a trade surplus outside the EU27 and defitcit with the EU27. If we have some non tariff barriers with EU27, it will even out.
Woosh that is pie in the sky thinking. If the UK has a trade deficit, it's because it buys in more than it sells . Unless post Brexit it magically stops needing those items it buys , it still buys them. There is no law which requires the UK to only buy and sell EU, otherwise how could it have a trade surplus with non states?
 
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Woosh

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Woosh that is pie in the sky thinking. If the UK has a trade deficit, it's because it buys in more than it sells . Unless post Brexit it magically stops needing those items it buys , it still buys them. There is no law which requires the UK to only buy and sell EU, otherwise how could it have a trade surplus with non states?
I suspect we buy components from Germany and integrate them into our products before selling on. After brexit, there will be a little more incentive to make some of it in the UK or buy elsewhere (Korean?).
 

flecc

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Oct 25, 2006
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Our country has seen every major industry disappear, from cars to Steel to Coal.We are no longer a manufacturing base now I,m not blaming EU for that but its all gone whilst in EU. These are the things we should be challenging.
How many times must I point this out, most of our loss of the industrial base and associated exports was before joining the Common Market, between1950 and the mid 1970s.

Since joining we've regained some of it.
.
 

Danidl

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First of all decision as to wether they cheated is subjective. Anybody with any sense ignores what is written on the sides of buses and we know fir a fact all MP's lie. Its their job.
Secondly , there are loads of instances where refs have been conned, penalties awarded which changes outcome of game, with retrospective action now taken against individuals...but the result stands.( there is exactly this being investigated now but result will not change)

Besides, remain side lied most, or perhaps you missed Osborn's comments in what would happen immediately???
With all respect K.. T..M... suspect you might just be a tad bias..
Got a mate who sells Porsche in Sheffield...he sounds just like you..

And you never know , Boris might find £350kk/ week for NHS..we dont know yet. We haven't left.

Our country has seen every major industry disappear, from cars to Steel to Coal.We are no longer a manufacturing base now I,m not blaming EU for that but its all gone whilst in EU. These are the things we should be challenging.
Not continually harping on about Brexit. Stand with Shan, he,s looking for a deputy PM and funding. The English Macron could arise from pedelec forum ???
Zatlan, in my experience, politicians do not usually lie. They prevaricate, they boast, they explain, they exaggerate, they qualify their committments ..". I would do the following if elected and subject to the suitable .... ". But barefaced lieing is novel at least in the recent past.
The statement on the bus was listed as a fact and that those who promoted it stated it as a fact,
The statements by minister Davies about sectoral studies was a lie. He claimed in the environs of your parliament that such existed , repeated this claim multiple times until forced to present them..
The statements about economic collapse post Brexit are still in the to be proven stage, not yet fact.
 
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Danidl

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I suspect we buy components from Germany and integrate them into our products before selling on. After brexit, there will be a little more incentive to make some of it in the UK or buy elsewhere (Korean?).
Yes but the reason you buy German product, is because you can buy it cheaper than tooling up to make it. Likewise the same British companies could at present buy their widgets from Korea, perhaps with a little bit of tarriff, but the lower wages there make it affordable...
 
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Woosh

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Yes but the reason you buy German product, is because you can buy it cheaper than tooling up to make it. Likewise the same British companies could at present buy their widgets from Korea, perhaps with a little bit of tarriff, but the lower wages there make it affordable...
the future is in Shenzhen...
 

flecc

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Oct 25, 2006
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And you never know , Boris might find £350kk/ week for NHS..we dont know yet. We haven't left.
But it wouldn't be from savings on our weekly EU payments since we never paid anything like that. The deliberate lie will always stand as a lie.

And Remain didn't lie, couldn't materially lie. George Osbourne predicted an outcome which didn't materialise. That's not a lie, it was an opinion. Lies are distortions of existing truths, and we all knew the existing truths of Remain since it was the status quo, making effective lies impossible.
 
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Zlatan

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How many times must I point this out, most of our loss of the industrial base and associated exports was before joining the Common Market, between1950 and the mid 1970s.

Since joining we've regained some of it.
.
Come on Flecc you know full well that's not case at all. Yes, steel industry was in massive decline by 1970 but the coal industry was still biggest employer in country way past 73 and didn't hit massive decline until 84 ?? .
BL struggled on until 2005..Sheffield and Rotherham only became ghost towns in late 80,s..
Our manufacturing base was antiquated by 73 but in nearly every case struggled on well past that.

I,m not blaming EU buy it certainly has not provided the motivation / interest in replacing the mentioned employers we,ve seen in other European countries. Yes, its probably fault of governments but the decline has certainly continued throughout our time in EU.
And there has been a massive North / South divide witnessed in this process. Have a look at house price rises between North and South. All whilst in EU.
I left college in 73 with an OND in technology. Had choice of Dunford Hatfields, Coal Board but failed interview at BL..( but friend got in , I went later) Out of perhaps 25 leaving around 20 went into manufacturing firms of some description. All gone now. Forge masters were massive and remnants of British Steel were still major employer in Sheffield (Special Steels. Templeboro) I did a degree instead.
 
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oldgroaner

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Nov 15, 2015
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that's an exaggeration and you know it. Of course we have the same customers, same products. Brexit will hit direct inward investment in the short term when businesses have to work out positives and negatives and that is reflected in the exchange rate, currently at 1GBP = 1.39 USD, to me, that's more or less the right place (and pricing of brexit) until the deal on transition is worked out. I expect the Pound will appreciate further, may be 1.45 USD, when the fog of 2019-2021 will be lifted. Then the issue of economic shock due to brexit is properly understood, ie, about 2%-3%.
Sorry but anyone with big money can do better for themselves by moving out of the country, and that is exactly what they have been doing for years.
Brexit is the final nail in that coffin.
What reason could they have to remain? they will ExitBrexit as the only sensible thing (from their perspective) to do.
Money has no patriotic ties.
 
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Danidl

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Come on Flecc you know full well that's not case at all. Yes, steel industry was in massive decline by 1970 but the coal industry was still biggest employer in country way past 73 and didn't hit massive decline until 84 ?? .
BL struggled on until 2005..Sheffield and Rotherham only became ghost towns in late 80,s..
Our manufacturing base was antiquated by 73 but in nearly every case struggled on well past that.

I,m not blaming EU buy it certainly has not provided the motivation / interest in replacing the mentioned employees we,ve seen in other European countries. Yes, its probably fault of governments but the decline has certainly continued throughout our time in EU.
And there has been a massive North / South divide witnessed in this process. Have a look at house price rises between North and South. All whilst in EU.
Zatlan, we are continually going around in circles on this one. You accuse the EU of being interventional and simultaneously accuse it on not intervening. Long ago I tried to explain that it has allowed the competent authority in each state to determine local priorities . It assumes goodwill on behalf of the local authority. By " competent", I mean the the authority with first responsibility, not actually their ability.
If the UK choose by any form of bigotry , perhaps dating back to the war of the roses , to favour certain regions , and ignore others, if the UK parliament decided to promote specific regions at the expense of others, and did not submit planning requests to Brussels, there is little the EU could do. Despite assertions to the contrary, all EU legislation treaties etc recognised the sovereign status of the UK. .. For proof just read the preamble to any of the post 1973 treaties.
The problem with the northern coal mining and ore extraction industries is that they were sunset industries, and while there was plenty of material still available for mining, the markets were dieing , the cost of extraction rising, and the need for greater investment becoming evident.
 
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flecc

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Oct 25, 2006
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Come on Flecc you know full well that's not case at all. Yes, steel industry was in massive decline by 1970 but the coal industry was still biggest employer in country way past 73 and didn't hit massive decline until 84 ?? .
BL struggled on until 2005..Sheffield and Rotherham only became ghost towns in late 80,s..
Our manufacturing base was antiquated by 73 but in nearly every case struggled on well past that.
No I don't know that's not the case, since it simply isn't true. The decline that did all the damage was before joining the EEC.

Coal was not an export industry, and as you say, the rest were struggling by the 1970s but were very ineffective. That was because those lost all their strength in the period following WW2 and up to the 1970s. Many other industries had vanished almost completely by the 1970s.

That damage was ours, nothing whatsoever to do with EEC or EU membership.
.
 
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oldgroaner

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Nov 15, 2015
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What chance was that OG in EU. ??? We have no Uk industry...cars or otherwise.( apart from a few minor / specialist concerns)
How on earth can you argue EU has helped UK industry. Its done nothing of kind.
If / when we leave I suspect we will have to see the rebirth of industries. Why cant UK be competitive in all areas ?? Fact is the cars built in 10 years will all be on equipment not yet in use..Everybody will have to invest to compete. There can be advantages coming into game late.
Do you ever read my posts? or just come out with the first thing that enters your head? where did I state that the EU has helped our industry?

What I reported that we failed utterly to take advantage of the opportunities a huge market represent while in it.
And as there was no rebirth of industries except for Foreign owned ones, when they had great opportunities, why should it happen when as is going to happen now they will have none?
Is someone going to wave a magic wand?
Or are you expecting to be saved by foreign companies that now have no further reason to come here as we have thrown away the advantage of EU membership.
Put an advert in the Press
"Wanted: foreign Companies to back Brexit at their own risk"
That should bring them in in droves.
But if it does they will want everything for nothing, infrastructure, cheap workers ,Tax incentives
And we will own even less of our own country,its infrastructure and it's industry.
Bizarre
 
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Zlatan

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 26, 2016
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No I don't know that's not the case, since it simply isn't true. The decline that did all the damage was before joining the EEC.

Coal was not an export industry, and as you say, the rest were struggling by the 1970s but were very ineffective. That was because those lost all their strength in the period following WW2 and up to the 1970s. Many other industries had vanished almost completely by the 1970s.

That damage was ours, nothing whatsoever to do with EEC or EU membership.
.
And Danidl
I have not accused EU as being responsible for this decline. The only point I,m making, and sticking to, is the fact that as much as our manufacturing industries were in decline I,d guess from 1950( ish) the massive decline was during 80's.
And yes , coal was never an export industry , but sad fact is the moment pits closed around us ( many perfectlly economically viable) we had to start importing coal from Poland, and in some cases paying more for it.
So that means many workers were made redundant wrongly whilst keeping others in Poland working.
No, I,m not blaming EU at all but to claim our decline somehow stopped with our joining EU in 73 is completely wrong.

The EU has neither helped or hindered our situation. The market the EU provides has become pointless for our key industries of old because they no longer make anything. The French,Germans and Italians all produce primarily for their own markets and ours. We are a market but not a producer, so the EU has not helped our balance of payments at all. ( quite reverse in goods)
The EU has never done anything to help tho situation.
 
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oldgroaner

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No, I,m not blaming EU at all but to claim our decline somehow stopped with our joining EU in 73 is completely wrong
No actually it's you that is completely wrong on that in the sense that we recovered economically even after the loss of industry, had we remained outside the EEC we would have been a basket case
 
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Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
19,529
16,466
Southend on Sea
wooshbikes.co.uk
Sorry but anyone with big money can do better for themselves by moving out of the country, and that is exactly what they have been doing for years.
Brexit is the final nail in that coffin.
What reason could they have to remain? they will ExitBrexit as the only sensible thing (from their perspective) to do.
Money has no patriotic ties.
most of us posting here can still do that, brexit changes practically nothing
Put an advert in the Press
"Wanted: foreign Companies to back Brexit at their own risk"
Foreign Companies Wanted.
Plenty of incentives and state aids.
Projects should start after brexit only.
Flexible regulations a promise!
 

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