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  1. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Of course it does bot follow that a vaccine which works on Chinese will be as effective on Eskimos.
  2. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Well I would fully expect China to be the first with a viable vaccine. However it will be no mystery. 1. They have invested extremely heavily in STEM, whereas western countries have invested in Bankers and lawyers 2. They have more high technology manufacturing capacity. 3. They have a view of...
  3. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    SP. Your calculation is based on linear model, the infection rate is potentially exponential. The point of a lockdown is to reduce the transmission rate below sustainable growth, ..which means below 2 .. the carrier and the next victim. Then if the numbers get low enough ,full contact tracing...
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    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Thats an easy question to answer. The virus infects a susceptible cell, and makes a vast number of copies of itself, however there is little error protection and correction, so a few of the copies are defective. The majority of these defects make a useless virus, which cannot replicate , and...
  5. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    My sincere sympathies. Even if it somewhat expected , it is a major wrench.
  6. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Perhaps you are correct in the very short term, but I think the process needs to start a little earlier. People tend to rise to the expectations placed on them..they might fall a little below,but not much. I recall waiting for an airport bus off Fulham High St a few years ago . There was a...
  7. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Maybe it is !. However the UK BCG vaccination program was more restrictive than other places ..
  8. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    I disagree with your process. The better way is education. Closing beaches and the mountains is the wrong way. Social isolation is the better way. .. 60 people surfing well away from each other is fine. In our case Public transport ..trains are running but 75% of the seats are excluded so...
  9. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    The immediate problem is containing and reducing the spread of this virus. Without people there is no economy. The next problem is reopening economies ,and the next problem is then figuring out a way of financing these distruptions. Tommie the world has changed. Italy knows this, some of the...
  10. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Except of course there is now no safety net for the UK. The EU will work out a solution. The entire economic world order has been shaken by this pandemic. Entire industries and sectors will simply collapse. I am thinking of Insurance in particular. .LLoyds for example has a number of names...
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    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Having a son with CF, and 30% Lung Function, on a good day, I fully understand where you are coming from. Walking normally can bring spots to his vision. Obviously he is being cacooned at present ,... Any presentation of this CV19 would be fatal.
  12. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Viral load .... Matters a lot. These things are a matter of probability . A breath contains hundreds of particles, an active phlem globule millions , ..from evidence of flus . The virus deactivates when dessicated ..the outside of the skin tends to be dry and warm, so the liquid in the...
  13. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    It makes no difference whether they were within one foot of you as they passed , the contact zone is fleeting. Even were they infected ..say 2% risk, and were within your range of 2 metres for 2 seconds, the exposure is minimal. You can hold your breath for 5 seconds?.
  14. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Deaths occur for a variety of reasons and unless there is extreme clarity, can be attributed to other causes.. CV19 could be the underlying cause for a range of other deaths,.. or conversely CV19 might be blamed for for a COPD death?. Moreover Deaths need not be registered for a couple of...
  15. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Define properly ?There was confusion and some obstruction in Hubei in the period late November till mid December when there were a few cases of a highly persistent Flu 1 or ,2 cases presenting Daily. . It was late December before there were 50 cases. And the authorities started getting...
  16. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    The situation here is of course different than in central London. I would stroll down to the pharmacy, which is on a sea front. The wind is usually blustery and on shore.. From Blackpool 60 miles away. The pharmacy allows two people in maximum ,and the rest wait on the street, with probably...
  17. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Surely you can do better than that in the vitriolic stakes.. 1. Lets see a person sends 25 dollars to a woman candidate ,and that person is also a woman.... There were a lot of women hoping for the first female US President. 2. US dates sometime confuse.. was that 2006 or 2001? But any way...
  18. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Well his predecessors ensured that 90% of the Irish population had open air religious ceremonies up until 1825!. Henry 8 stole the big churches and made them Anglican , then Eliza 1 and her successors ripped the roofs off the smaller ones ... Not only were Catholics forbidden religion, but...
  19. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    What happened here was by Government directive... All existing medications on prescription are extended until the end of the emergency. In my case I am on a mild hypertension dose.. which hasn't done much for blood pressure , but totally cured a sleep apnea I was starting to suffer from. The...
  20. D

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Agreed!