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  1. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Check your facts, James. No Deal adds tariff, food will be more expensive, not less. Even Kenyan green beans and coffee will cost more under WTO.
  2. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    French people complain rather a lot more. Your friend could have reminded that t**t that if he had made a complaint under 'article R.624-4 du code pénal', that'll be 750 Euro fine for him.
  3. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    you should have made a complaint. at a minimum, he would have been reprimanded for being a d*** head. However, the French officials do not have to supply an interpreter in normal administrative appointments.
  4. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Pau is a very nice city. Clean, beautiful weather, easy to get in and out, convenient airport with UK connections etc. I was once tempted to buy a house there. What was the problem your friend encountered? For residency permit, he needs to live there more than 6 months a year and pay French...
  5. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    in addition to extra duty, a few weeks and a lot of food miles. even if you find some food cheaper (actually, I challenge James to find an example of which food will be cheaper), they are not fresher or nicer. Definitely a wrong strategy.
  6. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    but you cannot isolate only one factor, in this case, import duty on food commodities. Like biologic systems, there are plenty of feedback mechanisms in economic modelling, positive feedback and negative feedback. If and when some tariff is reduced, import of the relevant products may go up...
  7. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    think about it. If your method is unsound, your assumption is against empirical data then the conclusion is valueless. You've studied bio-chemistry? then you are familiar with the rate of reaction. You could say: increasing the concentration of reactants leads to higher rate of reaction. That's...
  8. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    they can't even convince themselves.
  9. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    in managerial speak: they are 'opinion formers' . there ought to be a law against propagators of fake news like law against fake goods.
  10. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    the price of farmland varies even before the referendum. in order to quantify the brexit factor, import duty, regulatory regime, planning law, available farm labour, exchange rates and even annual rainfall need to be factored into your model. If you say price = function of (import duty)...
  11. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    here are some quotes from that article. what happens to our usual food? should we stop eating Welsh lamb when the Welsh shepherds stop shepherding? No Scotch beef? No British flour? the mistake is to narrow the view down to the price of farmland from a multitude of variables so that the...
  12. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    he is not far off. Survation Poll 26-29 January this week gives Labour 3 points lead. Cons: 40% Labour: 43% LibDems: 8% etc https://www.survation.com/uk-voting-intention-labours-polling-lead-three-points-over-the-conservatives/
  13. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    UK CT rate was 30% under Tony Blair. When the 2008 depression happened, under Gordon Brown, CT was reduced it to 27%, then under David Cameron, gradually down to 20%. John McDonnell plans to return it to 27%, roughly world average. Income as percentage of GDP fell correspondingly from 3% of...
  14. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    when I picked up on your post about Tim W, I said he made some mistakes. I did read the article, checked his facts before getting back to the case of the 55,000 farmers whose fate he has no concern comparing to the number of consumers. The obvious case of Welsh sheep farmers was discussed...
  15. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Check the data. Not so long ago, we collected more in CT when the rate was at 27%. JC has plenty of time to prepare his strategy, unlike Mrs May.
  16. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    nothing wrong with the Adam Institute and CapX where these people work. the main problem is Tim Worstall isn't an economist, he works more like James Delingpole, writing articles for the right wing press.
  17. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    those 9% are composed of large businesses, you should see how much economic importance they represent.
  18. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    empirical data proves that JC is probably correct to set CT at 27%. Furthermore, there can be several peaks instead of just one around the optimum rate.
  19. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    Michael Heseltine talked about it quite a bit. That was at the time he run the Dept of Trade and Industries. He tried to defuse the poll tax bomb. Building houses, moving government offices out of London etc. They tried it all but to little effect. Juergen Maier (@siemens) made the point very...
  20. Woosh

    Brexit, for once some facts.

    then they'll have to spend even more money on enticements. Mind you, any big business would be frightened equally by the ERG. current probability estimates since Tuesday's votes on Peston show this week: May's deal 50% unchanged No brexit 35% (down 5%) No deal 15% (up 5%)