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the EU can bend the rules a bit but have no interest to do so. They have to protect their SM and that means a customs border in NI. To do that, the tories have to upset the DUP. The main difficulty is there is no majority to support customs border in NI or the Irish Sea. We'll go round and round...

we'll be in stronger negotiating position but brexiters will run a very real risk of no brexit. There is no majority in the HoC for a hard brexit. That means the government will face an immediate vote of no confidence leading to JC becoming the next PM.

a vote of no confidence in TM's government after she fails to get her deal approved a second time is the best next step and requires only a simple majority. After that, the tories have 14 days to form a majority. If they can't, then a GE is automatically triggered and the vote is 25 days after...

Why not? that's one reason EFTA membership is better than TM's deal.

No deal means Labour will ultimately vote with TM. it's the withdrawal deal that they are going to vote on the 11th. That deal cannot happen without some guarantee given to the Irish and Spaniards, a point that Labour's Rebecca Long Bailey objected to in last night's QT. Nothing will stop...

it goes to show that the FOM is very misunderstood in the UK. It's not an automatic right to free abode, just a right to look for work, accept a job and build a life, unless you are already a pensioner then you need to prove you have the means of self support and healthcare certificate. That...

interesting poll, if the second referendum is called. the middle question is a little surprising. No deal beats remain by 52/48 while unsurprisingly remain beats May's deal by 56/44 and yet May's deal beat no deal by 58/42. If May's deal beats no deal and remain beats May's deal, you would...

why can't Labour accept that there is no withdrawal deal without a backstop guarantee for NI?

we are still closely stuck with EU laws for the foreseeable future.

Did you know that Germany is urging France to give up its UN Security Council seat to replace it with an EU one?

if MPs vote down TM's deal twice, a motion of no confidence in government will be called some time in January or early February. Two weeks later, if no party can command a majority, a new GE will be required and TM's government will either have to cancel A50 or ask the EU to extend A50.

this state of affairs is aggravated by the fact that all the prominent brexiteers are not paupers.

another referendum will also be advisory. you have to solve the parliament math problem first.

A fresh GE is my preferred option if MPs vote down TM's deal. It will make sure that parties and candidate explain and justify their position why they voted down TM's deal.

first forecast for the city: 700 billions worth of assets will be moved to Frankfurt in early 2019. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/29/london-to-lose-800bn-to-frankfurt-as-banks-prepare-for-brexit

I would have thought that involving the voters directly into the decision making process was a bad choice, especially with reduction to a yes/no choice. MPs are better equipped to deal with the grey area between yes and no answers. When MPs take the decision somewhere between yes and no, which...

brexit now seems a bit wobbly. The question is loaded but it still carries the message. Sky News posted result of their last survey:

useful website. I just found out that living in Southend on Sea is one third cheaper than London. https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/compare_cities.jsp?country1=United+Kingdom&city1=London&country2=United+Kingdom&city2=southend-on-sea that should explain why I charge one third less for my...

the remain door has never been completely shut, it rests on the prerequisite that there are enough MPs to want it. As long as JC still supports brexit, the number of MPs wanting to remain won't reach one third leave alone majority. Re FOM: we only need a digital identity card system to access...

there is no contradiction between those who want a second referendum and those who find leaving is humiliating. Some will vote for remain, some for no deal, some for May's deal. the majority of those 47% would likely to vote for May's deal in a second referendum.