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My understanding is that it takes around 10 days for an infection to be acquired, and then develop to the stage of requiring treatment. In some people it can be as low as 5 and in others upward of 14 days. For a period of perhaps 3 days the person is infectious without even being aware...

"Londoners will commute over 141,000 miles The average London commuter makes a daily round trip of 13.42 miles. They will travel 141,427 miles by the time they retire, or 161 times the distance from Land's End to John O' Groats." Total jobs website.

I have tried to make sense of these tables, but the complier is not great in statistics. Raw numbers are ok, but the population of each if these regions needs to be included. 20 deaths in a population of 11 million is small, whereas 20 in a region of 1 million is larger.

No BSP, I believe that in the fundamentals you are correct. The growth is exponential throttled only by the the number of people within spitting distance. However the actual focal point of patient zero could have been anywhere in the world. China is only the major suspect, because there are...

There are images from Sky dated 12 May, ie a week ago, showing increased numbers on the underground Jubilee line . About 40% of the people are masked/ face covered. Mayor Khan says that capacity is at 5% to 15% . There is no way that the social distances can be maintained on the tube. So...

"The shortened lifespans and deaths from increased illnesses then could dwarf anything Covid-29 might do at present.".. That is the very serious question. Nobody has done the calculus on that.

Flecc.. I suspect you will not have to wonder for much more time. As London reduces its lockdown strategy, and people get back on the underground, the surge is 3 weeks away. The assumption you are making that those who would have died have died anyway , is erroneous. What fraction of the London...

Oyster no one knows. It is possible that they never actually get infected, so don't invoke the proper immune response , In theory the lowest threshold viral load should be a single particle , but probability plays a huge roll. There are cases being reported of persons having apparently...

Reading is not your strength then. I said came from ..not lived in

I feel the sense of foreboding that those passengers from Wuhan must have felt,on landing in a disease ridden airport, after coming from a city which is disease free.

Protocol only works when observed. Obama was of course clever enough not to refer to any specific individual... Something which Trump never had the wit to do... except when he was saying those.. "people tell me that I'm the best " , comments without ever identifying the people

Is this not a buyer beware situation?. When the State instructs it people to stay at home, then that is a "force majeure ", situation and monies paid before the date of the order should be refunded. However, if one then at a later date speculates that curfew will be lifted , it is done in...

That Obama has restrained himself against responding against the daily attacks for 4 years shows incredible self control. Everything he says is true.

If my sillyness means that less people die, then its a folly I would gladly accept. Unfortunately my track record has been depressingly accurate. As of tonight the USA has 16K in the serious critical category, and half of those or 8k ,are likely to survive. ..and of course the surge expected...

R is the exponent in the mathematical model. Consequently it is not a measurement, it is a derived value obtained from measurements .. of counting admissions and inference as to the number of contacts. At the moment, the UK death rate is half of what it was at peak, and reflects the effects...

Oyster. There might some variation here. The Head of the Irish National Virological centre , was on TV a few weeks ago, and stated that temperature spikes was not a significant marker. So there might be some genetic factor at play. You will recall that the Public Health in China was measuring...

Refer back to my comments at the time... Ireland had gone into lockdown before Cheltenham. The Irish Italian Rugby match had been cancelled, and the St Patrick's weekend cancelled.

Still scraping around at the bottom of the barrel looking for scum?. The only reason Pres. Trump remains in office is that the GoP did not have the bottle to even call one witness last January. The reason Mr Mueller looked shell shocked was because the DoJ had made a decision that the current...

If I were Chinese,I would have a lot of faith in Xi

Since Trotsky was Jewish, making anti-Semitic Trotskyist is a bit of a mental jump.