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in the big scheme of things, this amount is not huge. It's spent mostly in the UK, on people's wages so the government will get some of that back. If we leave the EU, it's for cosying up to the USA. The main issue is whether we lower EU food and environmental standards to American standards...

He is a weasel but he hasn't cocked up yet and may not all the way to the GE.

don't do that. I would suggest something lightweight, like the XF07 front kit. http://wooshbikes.co.uk/?hubkits#xf07kit or a crank drive like the Tongsheng TSDZ2 http://wooshbikes.co.uk/?cdkit#tsdz2

the Pound started to recover this morning. Up from 1.215 to 1.224 (about 1%). I wonder why. Maybe something Bojo said or maybe Frost goes to Brussels.

we will have developed technical solutions to WTO trades to avoid clogging up the system. At present, every parcel from China by DHL involves several emails because I cannot input directly the information in advance. Regulations and tariffs are normal business costs, they affect buying and...

he describes his deal, which is TM's deal assuming he gets some changes to to the backstop. that does not mean that he'll get a deal done by Halloween. it's nothing new.

I think the opposite. The EU has already got all the necessary legislation to treat the UK like the USA whereas we are trying to create a special status for the EU to avoid friction. I give you a simple example: If I want to send a parcel from Shenzhen to Southend, it has to be done by DHL and...

The HoC cannot request an extension by itself, Bojo has to ask for it and he is not going to unless the EU offers him some concession. That much is clear. Without EU's offer of some concession, parliament will have little choice, it will try to bring Bojo's government down.

no. There will be numerous stoppages because remain will table extra motions, including a second referendum. As long as the conservative brexiters cannot command a majority of MPs, the UK remains in the EU. the only way out of the mess is for the conservatives to lose power to a remain coalition...

it's not enough to enact the WA to brexit. There are 4-5 large pieces of legislation (bills) to pass after that and before we leave. That's why it's pie in the sky to say that we'll leave with a deal before or on 31st October. Even for No Deal brexit, there will need to be a series of bills to...

I still think that on balance of probability, A50 will be extended yet again until end of this year. If parliament ratifies the WA, it'll need time to pass secondary legislation. if not, it's because parliament votes for no confidence. In that case, A50 will need to be extended.

Most financial decisions will create winners and losers but would Bojo screw it up? don't be so sure, and it will take years to happen, if at all. The Pound loses ground at the moment because of uncertainty but it will soon recover I think.

Bojo may promise a lot but delivers little until now, beside the £1 billion extra cash to prepare for WTO brexit and it's still not all spent. It shows that he's much better than TM at electioneering. Remainers need MPs like Jeremy Hunt and Rory Stewart to fight Bojo.

in 2017, Labour and tories benefited from tactical voting. This time, if GE is before brexit, Labour and Tories will lose out to LibDems and the BXP but Labour will lose more than Tories, if GE is after brexit, Labour will be trounced because remainers will blame JC's inaction. In either...

he only has to beat JC (which seems a doodle) to rule for 5 more years.

He smiles at the cameras and appears to me a 'happy go lucky' kind of person. I doubt that anyone and even BJ himself knows what BJ is going to do. He plays chicken with the EU knowing full well their strategy: remain or hard brexit, there is not much in between except TM's deal. I guess the EU...

the exchange rate does not seem to have any impact on the leave/remain poll of polls. Currently: leave: 40% remain: 47% don't know: 13% https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-think-britain-was-right-or-wrong-to-vote-to-leave-the-eu/

until the 4th of September. fewer and fewer people give BJ the benefit of the doubt when he bluffs on TV.

it may have to be BRINO, the UK is so integrated into the EU that any trade deal without regulatory alignment will not work because it creates distortion and unfair competition.

JC and Abbott on a brexit tandem... that just gave me a fit of cough.