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net annual EU immigration was 174,000 before the referendum, 74,000 last 12 months, down 100,000 because their take home in Euros is 15% less. If we have a no deal brexit, the Pound will drop to parity with the Euro, we'll probably stop EU immigration altogether. That may be what you want but...

we will continue to trade with the EU like before. What will affect us if we leave the EU's single market and customs union is the outflow of assets. Banks will move their assets to the EU, Japanese car makers, pharmaceuticals will also reduce their capacity, the balance of payments will be hit...

yes, the bill is in Euros. The £39 billions is the current estimate. It will probably go higher because we are likely going to need a longer transition if we leave the single market and customs union.

a devaluation of the Pound will make the UK much less attractive to EU workers. They go home or to a Eurozone country, guess who are going to replace them?

do you mean OT?

I assume that OT compares the nationalists in the conservative party to the German national socialists but there is a big difference. The conservative nationalists are a small minority and not in power, the nazis were united and won the vote. There is no way the conservative nationalists are...

a no deal can't last long. The conservative government genuinely wants to negotiate an FTA, they will have to agree to the £39 billions and the backstop before any deal can be delivered. The current withdrawal deal must be ratified. Back to where TM is at the moment. That will make sure that...

JC is tactically helping the ERG. If the UK falls off the cliff, the tories are going be be severely punished at the next GE. Labour will benefit from the chaos of no deal brexit.

no deal will cause instant devaluation of the Pound to anticipate the cost of disruption, followed by about 3% inflation for 2-3 years. Basically, if you don't have much assets like the poorer 90% of Brits, you'll be robbed about 10% within 2-3 years. At the same time, car factories will have to...

I think they are going to keep programmers there.

Enoch Powell lamented that the laws introduced by common market membership meant the British would soon “have nothing left to die for … Patriotism is to have a nation to die for, and to be glad to die for it – all the days of one’s life.” In Heroic Failure, O’Toole offers a central, sexual...

what else can she say? she needs at least 117 + 10 MPs to replace those who openly say that her deal is worse than no deal. Where is she going to find them? The only place is Labour front bench.

it seems that boundaries have been pushed back in this thread. We have all signed up to the forum rules, let's stick to them, especially the clause about agree to disagree politely. http://www.pedelecs.co.uk/forum/pages/pedelecs-forum-rules/ QUOTE: We welcome constructive, informative...

good read: Quote: If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis... read more...

a referendum will still needs to be delivered by parliament. There is no majority at present in parliament for cancelling brexit. There is only one possible majority that is if the Crown's employees, front bench of both conservatives and Labour MPs, agree to work together.

There is no majority in the HoC for any type of brexit. the EU should really explore a negotiated WTO mini deal and allow enough wriggling room.

I believe she is genuine in wanting to deliver a good brexit. Unfortunately, there is no way she can please all the people with her brexit. There are about 130-150 MPs wanting to be able to leave on WTO after the transition. It is a substantial number but still a minority. If she gives in to...

she has more or less run out of ropes in any case. She is in the middle of a party whose MPs are much closer to the EU than membership and party voters. There are about 150 MPs who support WTO. I think she only wants to go into history as the one who took the UK out of the EU. Unfortunately...

the scale (117 out of 317) is not a surprise if you assume all tory eurosceptic MPs do not vote for TM. Eurosceptics are still fewer than those tony MPs who want her deal.

JC is right not to rush in to call a vote of no confidence. With colleagues like the ERG, TM won't last long. Let's just fast forward to end of January. The HoC cannot agree with TM's deal. Her next move is plan B: give to the HoC brexit committee the task to extend A50 and negotiate the deal...