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117 backbenchers (to give JRM maximum leeway on his reckoning) out of 175 voted against May - two third, in normal time, TM's cabinet would have told her that the game is up but this is not normal time, if you take away the single reason for the vote, TM's brexit deal, that's about the same...

164 tory MPs say they will back May. She will probably win the confidence vote but still cannot get her brexit deal through parliament.

this vote is secret, tory MPs only. If she wins, it's only because none of the tory MP wants her job at this moment in time.

the Pound is steady, appreciating even, so I reckon the ERG is going to be beaten tonight.

I suspect that inclusion is to protect the interest of the 48%, for the UK to remain in the customs union by the backdoor. A ploy which could not escape the ERG.

it does not have to be from the EU, if the ROI say they are happy with what JC proposes, the EU will acquiesce.

JC has a plan and it seems he is on track to get what he wants. I remember Michel Barnier says something that may be relevant: the backstop is necessary because of TM's redlines. I wonder if that means the EU I would give JC the same deal without a backstop or a fixed term backstop.

yes, you did. I would have thought the ERG would never let her do a Norway. They will try to bring her down before she brings plan B to the HoC.

so TM does have a plan B! Brexit minister tells MPs they will have meaningful vote on 'plan B' https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2018/dec/11/brexit-deal-latest-theresa-may-eu-juncker-tells-may-deal-could-be-clarified-but-no-room-whatsoever-for-renegotiation-politics-live

I have a fat bike with MMG330.350 in stock. http://wooshbikes.co.uk/2017/fb6/fb6-4.jpg

latest poll:

latest YouGov poll, TM still leads JC by 11 points.

she tries her best to reflect the 52/48 in her cabinet and although she was foolish in declaring her redlines so early on, she is by far the best leader that the tories have at the moment. Without her, tories MPs would rather burn most bridges with the EU.

their priority is to protect their access to the UK's single market. Nigel Dodds has made this point clearly a few times. He would rather choose the UK wide regulatory regime than the special status of 80% UK, 20% EU.

it's a bit of an exaggeration. There was no good reason to ask MPs to vote today after her debate with JC was cancelled before the weekend. Her job is to ask the EU if there is anything else they can do to help her. However, whatever she brings back, it won't be good enough for the ERG and the...

the DUP will support a Labour deal. there is no confirmation that the DUP won't support remain.

Even with the EU's help, her deal won't be supported by the DUP because outside the customs union, it will create a small amount of friction for NI's trade with the UK. Without the DUP's support, she has already lost her meagre majority. MPs are looking for the next step.

As Dave have said, there is a bit of air in the hydraulics. I'll send you a bleed kit later today.

Hi 4bound, I apologise for the missing link: http://wooshbikes.co.uk/cart/#/product/uid-189-santana-2018-17ah/santana-2018-17ah Best regards Tony

I did say the yellow vests have support from all sorts of people. They mean hydrogen can be produced alongside petroleum products in the same cracking process. or from coal.