The Anything Thread that is Never off subject.

Woosh

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Who would want to eliminate 6 candidates out of more than 20,000 candidates? Even then, with about 30% polling numbers, only 2 of the 6 might have succeded. Wouldn't it be better to wait another week to know which 2?
 
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Woosh

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The Pensions Increase (Pension Scheme for Keir Starmer QC) Regulations 2013 is the act of parliament that established a special pension scheme for Sir Keir Starmer when he served as the Director of Public Prosecutions. This legislation allows him to be exempt from the lifetime allowance tax on pension savings over £1 million from his time in that role. https://duckduckgo.com/?q=keir+starmer+pension+act+of+parliament&ia=web&assist=true
So has this Act of Parliament (made just for him, it has His name on it) been repealed? If not then it stands. Can you show us the repeal?
The LTA (life time allowance) was abolished in 2024.
In the Spring Budget of 2023, Jeremy Hunt announced the end of the Lifetime Allowance regime. He revealed that as of 6 April 2023, the LTA tax charge would be removed, and that the LTA would be completely abolished from 6 April 2024, to be replaced by new allowances .
Starmer did not fight it.
 
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MikelBikel

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The LTA (life time allowance) was abolished in 2024.
In the Spring Budget of 2023, Jeremy Hunt announced the end of the Lifetime Allowance regime. He revealed that as of 6 April 2023, the LTA tax charge would be removed, and that the LTA would be completely abolished from 6 April 2024, to be replaced by new allowances .
Starmer did not fight it.
That was for everyone else but 2Tier ?
The chief Secretary to the Treasury begs to differ with you!
Do you know better than him?
(Though 98 to 13 people thought the civil servant's answer did Not suffice, I wonder why?)

"To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, if she will take steps to repeal the Pensions Increase (Pension Scheme for Keir Starmer QC) Regulations 2013.

Tweet Share Hansard source (Citation: HC Deb, 26 July 2024, cW)

Darren JonesThe Chief Secretary to the Treasury

The 2013 regulations were introduced to ensure the Director of Public Prosecutions’ pension scheme is uprated in line with other public service pension schemes. There are no plans to repeal the regulations."
 

MikelBikel

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Who would want to eliminate 6 candidates out of more than 20,000 candidates? Even then, with about 30% polling numbers, only 2 of the 6 might have succeded. Wouldn't it be better to wait another week to know which 2?
Do the AfD have 20,000 candidates?
We're not talking about ALL the candidates in Deutschland.
I would have thought that was obvious, apparently not! :)

Let's have a look and see if any more have been Droppen, ja?
Oh, they're up to 16 SIXTEEN non ruling partie candidates now dead, tut tut, how unfortunate. RIP
And, dare one say it, statistically impossible? :-/

 

MikelBikel

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"Currently, the Life Expectancy of an opposition German politikshun is lower than that of a Me109 pilot in the Battle of Britain"
Brilliant comment from video above :rolleyes:
 

MikelBikel

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Duckduckgo doesn't want to calculate the probability of 16 out of 20,000 Germans dying in 2025! Just gives me a formula, hehe.
It evens mentions the AfD in its answer when I didn't put it in the question! Has it been told to play dumb?

Anyway..
The numbers of Germans dying in Germany in July 2025 is 11 per 1000.. so for 20,000 = 211, but that's compared with the Entire Population from 1 to 100yrs.

In June 2025 in North Rhine-Westphalia , 16,249 died total (p=provisional, but need to know what population is on average?)
Wonder if they have it for over 50's? No, pity :-/
And how to calculate for just opposition politikshuns?

 

Woosh

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Do the AfD have 20,000 candidates?
We're not talking about ALL the candidates in Deutschland.
I would have thought that was obvious, apparently not! :)
I did say the 20000 was the number of candidates of Nord Rhein Westphalen. The 6 AfD candidates who died are all in this state, not the whole of Germany.The vote is due next weekend.
In view of their age group (59-71 year olds), their deaths are said by the police of natural causes, ie related to their pre-existing medical conditions except one who killed himself. While 6 deaths from one party in one state is notably high, it's important to consider that 16 candidates from various political parties have died in the same timeframe . This broader context suggests that the phenomenon may not be unique to the AfD, though the concentration of deaths within a single party remains striking. Due to the possibility that those deaths could be linked to their party, the police are still looking into them.
Using German life tables (Statistisches Bundesamt):


  • At age 60: annual probability of dying ≈ 0.9% (9 per 1,000).
  • At age 65: ≈ 1.5% (15 per 1,000).
  • At age 70: ≈ 2.6% (26 per 1,000).

So for 59–71-year-olds, the annual death rate averages around 1–2% per year.
So for the few weeks in question, say 10% of 2%, 20000*0.1*0.02=40 expected deaths. As it turned out, 26 of them have died.
You can see those deaths are not statistically extraordinary.
 

Woosh

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This video is for MikelBikel:
How we in the West have handed the reins of renewables to China.
 
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Woosh

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I just finished watching Kuensberg Sunday politics. Did like what Kimi Badenoch was saying. Reform is still a party of protest.
 

Tony1951

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The total Luddite hooliganism of Trump's proposed budget cuts to NASA.

Dozens of already heavily invested programs to be slashed and dumped.

Is this a bung to billionaires like Musk and Bezos? If so, what does Trump get out of it?


I think the destruction set in train here is a nightmare to anyone interested in knowledge and science. He has specifically cancelled a satellite programme which documents changes in co2 and plant growth changes.
 
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Woosh

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Is this a bung to billionaires like Musk and Bezos? If so, what does Trump get out of it?
On the contrary. It's a bargaining chip for Trump. Behind the scene, he would tell them to bend the knees if you want government contracts.
The problem is unless you have a pretty good intelligence, you would see only problems in other people's ideas and not in your own.
All our economies in the West have slowed down since last year, the stock market has been a cash cow since last crash in 2008, they are long overdue for a correction or a crash because it can no longer create new good jobs in sufficient numbers for young graduates and the maturing AI is going to make job hunting much harder.
Anyone who says he's got a simple solution is either a genius or an idiot. Just look at Trump.
 
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MikelBikel

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Even controlled opposition John is weighing in.
"Nothing to see here, move along"
Mandela effect, Politikshuns have always dropped like flies, well, like Mexican ones?
In UK 2024 election, 1, ONE candidate died.
So, 1.44 billion to 1 chance of 2 clusters ;-)


 

Tony1951

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This discussion of Farage and Reform, between David Starkey and Gawain Towler is well worth the time. No holds barred look at his failings, and the party's failings, between two clever and well informed people.

I'd skip the first couple of minutes.

One thing that is remarkable about Starkey at the age of 80, is how precisely informed he is about such a massive range of subjects and how brilliant he is in discussing them.

 

Woosh

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Quote from the video:
Before I set off for the Reform UK party conference, I decided to catch up once again with Gawain Towler, who has just been appointed to the party's board. As Reform continues to entrench its polling lead, and the Labour Party's disarray makes an early election seem more and more likely.

Credit: Owain Davies, licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International license.

Starskey is still sharp, I accept that but why did he think early election is likely?
Starmer team spent more than a year sorting out the record queue for NHS treatments, they will probably spend this coming year to sort out how to house 32,000 asylum seekers currently put up in hotels, and what to do with those they cannot deport because no other countries will have them. They still have the sluggish economy and the Ukraine war to sort out. All if these issues are from the legacy of the Conservatives.
Why would they want an early election any more than Sunak did?
If Starsky is wrong on this, then what else is he wrong on?
 

Tony1951

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This another great watch. This man is perhaps the least appreciated genius we have in the country.

The beginning has terrible sound, but it rapidly improves.

If you don't watch this - you will be missing some REAL good sense.

I especially think the question and answer that comes around minute 40 is brilliant prophesy.

 

Woosh

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Cummings is a self agrandising has been looking for a right wing foolish leader who would give him a job. He wouldn't fit in any the boardroom judging by what he said in the past (we made him pm, we can take him down). Kim Badenoch is too sensible to ever give him a job. I reckon he'll angled for a new Conservative leader. Johnson sacked him once, won't touch him with a ten foot pole. Farage won't touch him either. So who would?
 

Woosh

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This video is for soundwave. We used to talk about cbdc. It seems like there is a bit more to it. How the Trump family may or will become the richest in the world in a couple of years.

 

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