I've told you guys before, several times. When people make a complicated and convoluted technical explanation for what caused some problem, that sounds sort of feasible, it's nearly always a distraction from the true cause, which is nearly always something simple and direct.
This is a derivative of Occam's Razor, which I had never heard of, but found out about after I had already developed my own problem solving methods, to get to the root of problems quickly, including the above principle.
One such example was when I was working at Vaillant to solve their boiler issues. We found a diaphragm in a valve that had swollen, like what a balloon does after you blow it up and let it down again. We invited the supplier in to help with it, and they brought in a laptop and a load of print-outs of finite element analysis of the stresses in the diaphragm. They claimed that the finite element stess analysis showed that the part was getting over-stressed and that it wasn't their fault because the tool that they had inherited from the previous supplier wasn't correct and they needed some huge amount of money to make a new tool.
My simple logic told me that there were thousands of boilers working correctly with the same diaphragm in it, so if it wasn't strong enough, they would all fail. I therefore told the guys from Vaillant not to pay for the tool and to look for the cause elsewhere. I was suspicious about the material, but couldn't rationalise why only a few diaphragms failed. To cut a long story short, the supplier had cheated on the material and had used a cheaper version that couldn't deal with high enough temperature. The problem only manifested itself when there were other issues that cause the temperature of the boiler to go higher than normal, but still well within the spec for the EPO that the diaphragm should have been made of. Instead of getting all that money for a new tool, the supplier got kicked out for cheating.
I used to deal with situations like that on a daily basis, which is how I developed my theory, which has been shown to have a surprisingly accurate correlation to actual situations. I guess Mr Occam found the same thing.