That seems to be about the right estimate. Here is a story that happened to someone I know a couple of weeks ago. I needed someone with a tractor to help me with some work I need to do in my garden. A friendly local farmer came with his tractor. There was a strong smell of sulfur emanating from his engine. As there was a small breeze, nobody wanted to fuss about it, he arrived directly from his farm. The following day, I learned that his tractor could have exploded while he was working in my garden. A fault in the alternator caused the battery to overcharge and the mechanic said that his battery was about to explode. Liquid sulfuric acid (H₂SO₄) is broken down by the excess electrical current and hydrogen sulfide (H₂S) is released.This means just 0.011% of bikes and scooters on the market set on fire that year.
Apparently, battery fires are quite frequent with lead acid batteries.