January 7, 201610 yr Then there is a little matter of how, starting next may, the EU plans to kill huge numbers of its citizens. At a guess, half of the three million vapers in the UK alone, will have no choice but to resume smoking. According to the official figures, half will die as a result. They did exactly the same thing by banning Snuss, a very low or zero risk alternative to smoking, throughout the EU. Nothing seems to matter except tax money from tobacco. Thats why I want out.
January 7, 201610 yr Author BTW Norway pays a large amount of its budget to the EU for them to allow it to use the single market. It is held to all the EU laws including free movement of labour, and it has no say at all in how the EU laws it has to follow are written. Similar for Switzerland. The worst of all worlds. Indeed, it surprisingly little known how high the cost of trading from the outside can be. And this is really what's on offer to us if we leave but want to retain a market in the EU. We will just have to be an EFTA member and keep all the EU cross border laws. Though not an EU member or ever one, Norway has to have the EU pedelec laws. Any thought by those wanting to exit the EU that we might have throttles again then is probably ill conceived. .
January 7, 201610 yr This thread hasn't done anything to change my views and I am quite happy to nail my colours to the mast, I have always been pro European and in favour of the EU.
January 8, 201610 yr Author This thread hasn't done anything to change my views and I am quite happy to nail my colours to the mast, I have always been pro European and in favour of the EU. I will vote to leave the EU. And that is probably the status of the whole country, fairly evenly balanced. On present indications I think the final referendum result could be so close that it won't resolve anything. The one thing we can probably be sure of is that if we do clearly vote to leave, Scotland will immediately break away from the United Kingdom and stay in the EU. .
January 8, 201610 yr The one thing we can probably be sure of is that if we do clearly vote to leave, Scotland will immediately break away from the United Kingdom and stay in the EU.. In that case I will join the exodus to my homeland....when it stops raining.
January 8, 201610 yr Considering the following known facts (unlike opinions, such as if the UK leaves the EU, the Scots will leave the UK ?) - our economy is doing as well if not better than the rest of Europe, unemployment is lower than the rest of Europe, immigration from the EU to the UK is at record levels, the EU's open borders policy is falling apart in the face of the emigrant crisis - if we were not in the EU, would we now be applying to join???
January 8, 201610 yr Author Considering the following known facts (unlike opinions, such as if the UK leaves the EU, the Scots will leave the UK ?) - our economy is doing as well if not better than the rest of Europe, unemployment is lower than the rest of Europe, immigration from the EU to the UK is at record levels, the EU's open borders policy is falling apart in the face of the emigrant crisis - if we were not in the EU, would we now be applying to join??? Not a fair comparison Robert, since it invites looking at the negatives without regard to the positives of our past membership which everyone has got used to and now disregard. It's also a question being posed at a point of maximum problems. The fair question is, if we'd never joined the EU, would we be interested in joining at any time in the last year or so. The answer to that could well be yes again, for the same reasons as last time. .
January 8, 201610 yr I remember my inability to decide when we had a referendum whether to join or not, so I abstained. I may well do the same this time.
January 8, 201610 yr The one thing we can probably be sure of is that if we do clearly vote to leave, Scotland will immediately break away from the United Kingdom and stay in the EU. We can't be certain about the the intentions of the Scots, probably the only people on earth to have voted negatively in an independence referendum, ever! That said, should a Westminster government take Britain out of the EU and the Scots determine that they would be better placed as part of the EU, like other smaller nations, Ireland and Malta to name but two, I shall probably join Cyclezee in crossing the frontier. By and large, I prefer the European notion of democracy to the sham model afforded us here in the UK. I most certainly do like the common currency which our governments have never permitted us to join, leaving us always looking like unwilling partners, half-hearted in our attitude towards the union and commonly regarded by our partners as spoilt brats because we're not in charge. It's no wonder De Gaulle was reluctant to let the UK join right at the outset! Have the rest of the EU heard about our newly announced drinking awareness advice in the UK, I wonder? Now, I also wonder how that advice would have been received here had it emanated from Brussels! Tom
January 8, 201610 yr We all know that the whole thing is a sham to unite the Tory party which is split down the middle on Europe. Dave’s playbook is Wilsons seventies one even down to now allowing ministers to take different sides and for the same reasons. Party unity. The ‘renegotiation’ will - assuming the new east European states play ball, result in a minor fudge which everyone will seize on and claim is a great improvement. Again the Wilson playbook. Then the government and business will push like crazy to convince the public - who frankly are pig ignorant for the most part of the consequences of a exit - that to leave would be a disaster. After frightening the electorate to death the result will be a win for staying in. Which is what Wilson and Dave always wanted. Whether it will work with the Tory ‘ bastards' though is another matter. They won’t give up and will still be pushing for out. The only thing that can go wrong is that Dave has underestimated how europhobe most of the offshore owned right wing press is, and how the poison has gone in deep with many of the public. So he may well cock it all up and end up seeing us leave. Which is of course the last thing he and most of his government wants. But then this government isn't very competent and does balls things up a lot.
January 8, 201610 yr Author We all know that the whole thing is a sham to unite the Tory party which is split down the middle on Europe. Dave’s playbook is Wilsons seventies one even down to now allowing ministers to take different sides and for the same reasons. Party unity. The ‘renegotiation’ will - assuming the new east European states play ball, result in a minor fudge which everyone will seize on and claim is a great improvement. Again the Wilson playbook. Then the government and business will push like crazy to convince the public - who frankly are pig ignorant for the most part of the consequences of a exit - that to leave would be a disaster. After frightening the electorate to death the result will be a win for staying in. Which is what Wilson and Dave always wanted. Whether it will work with the Tory ‘ bastards' though is another matter. They won’t give up and will still be pushing for out. The only thing that can go wrong is that Dave has underestimated how europhobe most of the offshore owned right wing press is, and how the poison has gone in deep with many of the public. So he may well cock it all up and end up seeing us leave. Which is of course the last thing he and most of his government wants. But then this government isn't very competent and does balls things up a lot. And another factor will be the US pressure and influence behind the scenes. They always wanted us to join to be their voice in the EU and have made it clear that they are strongly opposed to us leaving. The USA nows enjoys very good relations with some of the eastern bloc of EU countries, particularly Poland which strongly allies itself to the USA, and I've no doubt will use it's influence in that region to help get the result it wants. .
January 8, 201610 yr Have the rest of the EU heard about our newly announced drinking awareness advice in the UK, I wonder? Now, I also wonder how that advice would have been received here had it emanated from Brussels The publicity on drinking awareness is just to make it more palatable when the big increase in duty comes.
January 8, 201610 yr Author We can't be certain about the the intentions of the Scots, probably the only people on earth to have voted negatively in an independence referendum, ever! I based my opinion on the results of the independence referendum and ensuing national election. The independence referendum produced a close result only slightly in favour of staying with the UK. In the following national election large numbers who had voted against the SNP in the referendum then switched their vote to them in a near total rejection of English politics. I then add the strongly pro EU opinions emanating from Scotland during the referendum, So the Scots would have the choice of out of the EU while staying with the UK with it's disliked English politics, against abandoning the English and staying with the EU. In that circumstance I think the previous very close referendum result would swing heavily in favour of independence within the EU in any new vote. .
January 8, 201610 yr Author Wouldn't the Scotts have to apply to join the EU? I don't think so, I think that was just a UK politician's scare story to get them to stay in the UK. Greenland was a country possessed by Denmark and both together in the EU. In 1979 Greenland was granted home rule by Denmark, but stayed within the EU. In 1985 Greenland voted to leave the EU and then did so. I think this shows that individual countries within unions or leaving unions can act independently on whether they stay in or leave the EU, without the EU getting stroppy about it. In any case, the EU have made it clear they wouldn't want to lose any member so would hardly be likely to force anyone out. .
January 8, 201610 yr Time for a reprint? http://www.harvard-digital.co.uk/euro/pamphlet.htm Voted no back then and will again this time.
January 8, 201610 yr I'm willing to bet that if the EU found a way of keeping Scotland in the EU, rather than it having to apply for membership in it's own right, they would HAVE to adopt the Euro. Not sure the Scots could be persuaded to join the Euro in it's current state
January 8, 201610 yr Author I'm willing to bet that if the EU found a way of keeping Scotland in the EU, rather than it having to apply for membership in it's own right, they would HAVE to adopt the Euro. Not sure the Scots could be persuaded to join the Euro in it's current state And I'm equally sure that is wrong and another political scare story from the referendum debate. Having existing membership they would not have to join the euro. That is the rule for new members. After all, it wouldn't be Scotland changing it's EU status, it would be the English led UK leaving the EU. In any case, to adopt the euro it's necessary to meet a set of finacial criteria requirements, and Scotland could easily manipulate it's currency status to avoid that. And Greenland didn't have to adopt the euro when it gained home rule from Denmark but stayed in the EU. .
January 8, 201610 yr Me - I'm undecided. The main reason is that EU today is not what was signed up for, this phrase from the EU, quote "The EU budget doesn't aim to redistribute wealth, but rather to focus on the needs of all Europeans as a whole", I see as complete rubbish because redistribution is exactly what has happened. Pretty much all countries that joined after year 2000 take out of the EU far more than they contribute according to figures available in 2013, and are subsidised by existing countries France, Germany Netherland, UK etc. (except spain) to me that was not the original principal of the EU. Secondly, I don't want any immigration figures forced on the UK, we are a tiny island and already have a population area percentage greater than most other EU countries, our own population growth over the next 20 to 30 years just won't support a large influx of people. Anyway those my two areas of concerns about the EU.
January 8, 201610 yr It's amazing that the Scottish politicians don't want to be ruled from Westminster but are quite happy to be ruled from Brussels. Any ideas why that is???
January 8, 201610 yr And I'm equally sure that is wrong and another political scare story from the referendum debate. Having existing membership they would not have to join the euro. That is the rule for new members. After all, it wouldn't be Scotland changing it's EU status, it would be the English led UK leaving the EU. In any case, to adopt the euro it's necessary to meet a set of finacial criteria requirements, and Scotland could easily manipulate it's currency status to avoid that. And Greenland didn't have to adopt the euro when it gained home rule from Denmark but stayed in the EU. . But the rules now are that every new entrant would have to join the euro so it would be entirely dependent on whether Scotland will be deemed to be a new entrant or not. I just can't see Germany and France letting them keep sterling when the opportunity will be there for them to enforce the euro It could anyway be argued by Westminster that Scotland have no right to the British pound of they are no longer part of Britain (that's just a bit of a tease, bit stranger things have happened!)
January 8, 201610 yr Author But the rules now are that every new entrant would have to join the euro so it would be entirely dependent on whether Scotland will be deemed to be a new entrant or not. I just can't see Germany and France letting them keep sterling when the opportunity will be there for them to enforce the euro It could anyway be argued by Westminster that Scotland have no right to the British pound of they are no longer part of Britain (that's just a bit of a tease, bit stranger things have happened!) I think the dominant factor is that the the EU will not drive anyone out. With their ambitions for expansion they won't want to do that so I'm sure would not make an issue of an essentially petty matter. It's so easy for them to allow Scotland to continue with it's current status that I think it's likely they'd take that option. .
January 8, 201610 yr Author It's amazing that the Scottish politicians don't want to be ruled from Westminster but are quite happy to be ruled from Brussels. Any ideas why that is??? Policies, that's why. The Scots have long been unhappy with certain UK policies but broadly agree with the EU's policies and ambitions and see themselves as better placed to succeed as an independent and co-operative part of the EU. .
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